U.S. Consumer Sentiment Rises as Inflation Expectations Hold - Modern Distribution Management

U.S. Consumer Sentiment Rises as Inflation Expectations Hold

Stabilizing inflation expectations and shifting election sentiments highlighted the latest University of Michigan U.S. consumer survey.
Closeup dollar on the background of a chart. U.S. economy. Decrease in profit. Recession. The economic crisis in America. 3d illustration

The latest University of Michigan’s U.S. consumer sentiment survey revealed that year-ahead inflation expectations remained steady at 2.9% for the 2nd consecutive month in August 2024.

This stability follows a range of 2.3% to 3.0% in the two years preceding the pandemic. Additionally, long-term inflation expectations held firm at 3.0%, consistent with the past 5 months.

The index consumer sentiment rose to 67.8 in Aug. from 66.4 in July, reflecting a 1.4-point gain. However, it is still down 2.1 points from the previous year. Economists polled by Reuters forecasted a preliminary reading of 66.9.

Election developments have influenced sentiment, with a 6% rise among Democrats following Vice President Kamala Harris’s replacement of Joe Biden as the Democratic presidential nominee. In contrast, Republican sentiment fell by 5%, while Independent sentiment dipped by 3%.

The survey also highlighted that 41% of consumers believe Harris is a better candidate for the economy, compared to 38% for Trump, who held a five-point edge over Biden on economic issues earlier this year.

Expectations for personal finances and the five-year economic outlook reached a four-month high, although consumer expectations shift as the presidential campaign progresses.

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