CEO Confidence at Two-Year High - Modern Distribution Management

CEO Confidence at Two-Year High

CEOs expect current, future conditions to continue improving.

The Measure of CEO Confidence, which had increased in the fourth quarter of 2013, improved further in the first quarter of 2014, according to The Conference Board and PwC. The Measure now reads 63, up from 60 in the previous quarter. A reading of more than 50 reflects more positive than negative responses.

“CEO confidence rose to a two-year high, with both current conditions and expectations improving," said Lynn Franco, director of economic indicators at The Conference Board. "CEOs were more positive about short-term growth prospects in the U.S. and Europe, but less positive about prospects for Japan and emerging markets.”

According to the Measure, 54 percent of CEOs claim conditions are better now than compared to six months ago, up from 44 percent last quarter. Approximately 47 percent say conditions in their own industries have improved, compared with 41 percent last quarter.

Currently, 60 percent of business leaders anticipate economic conditions will improve over the next six months, up from 50 percent in the fourth quarter of last year. Expectations for their own industries are also strong, with 52 percent of CEOs anticipating an improvement in conditions in the months ahead, up from 47 percent last quarter.

Global Outlook

CEOs are more positive in their assessment of current economic conditions in the United States, but slightly less positive than last quarter regarding conditions in Europe. Sentiment regarding conditions in Japan has eased, but remains slightly positive. CEOs are once again rating conditions in China as unfavorable, and remain pessimistic regarding India and Brazil.

Looking ahead, short-term expectations for the United States and Europe, and to a lesser extent China and Japan, are positive. Expectations for India and Brazil remain moderately pessimistic.

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