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ECONOMIC OUTLOOK REPORTS

It provides a thorough look at the state of the U.S. wholesale distribution economy today and what factors are influencing underlying demand.
Our 2024 EOR is a comprehensive economic reference guide to the U.S. wholesale distribution industry and its many different verticals. It is comprised of 20 different subreports.

Premium Monthly

This issue is packed with 10 articles that span Amazon’s VMI launch, features on Watsco, ABC Supply and City Electric Supply, distributors’ industry event spending and more, plus an HVACR Market Profile.

Market Insight Reports

Find a wealth of data and analysis extracted from the 3Q24 Baird-MDM Industrial Distribution Survey, including trending charts and figures for revenue and expectations, plus plenty of interesting commentary.
See our top Premium M&A articles from July-September 2024, including QXO’s rollout plans; Sonepar’s Purchase of Summit Electric; What to know before expanding across state lines; and the latest EBITDA trading multiples.

Case Studies

This case study explores the plumbing, HVACR, PVF and industrial supplies distributor’s past decade of growth through diversification, private branding and increased customer loyalty.
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ElkCorp, Dallas, TX, manufacturer of roofing and building products, has received another offer to purchase all of ElkCorp’s outstanding shares for $42 a share by an affiliate of Building Materials Corporation of America.


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The special committee and board of directors, consistent with its recently announced merger agreement with The Carlyle Group, will review the offer and make a recommendation to ElkCorp’s shareholders.


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On January 16, 2007, ElkCorp announced that it has entered into an amended merger agreement with Carlyle, under which Carlyle commenced an offer to acquire all of ElkCorp’s outstanding shares for $40.50 per share. The revised Carlyle tender offer represents a $2.50 increase over the $38.00 price per share provided in the …

Rexel reported sales for fiscal 2006 at 9.3 billion euro, or $12.1 billion, up 26% from 2005, and up 11.1% on a comparable basis (same scope of consolidation, exchange rates and business days).


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In North America, Rexel sales reached $5.2 billion, up 12.2% on a comparable basis from last year. Sales for the fourth quarter were $1.62 billion, up 4% from the same period a year ago on a comparable basis.


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Sales in Europe reached $5.9 billion for the year. Operations there posted double-digit growth.


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Overall, sales for Rexel in the fourth quarter were $3.5 billion.


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CEO Jean-Charles Pauze said that the performance, in part, reflects increases in …

Industrial production rose 0.4% in December after a decrease of 0.1% in November. Output in November was previously estimated to have advanced; weaker data for a number of industries, particularly steel, led to the downward revision.


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For the fourth quarter as a whole, industrial production decreased 0.5% (annual rate). In the manufacturing sector, output increased 0.7% in December, and most major industry groups registered gains.


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The output of utilities fell 2.6%, the result of relatively mild temperatures during the month, while the output of mines moved up 0.8%.


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Over the 12 months ending in December, total industrial production increased 3.0%, to a level that was 112.4% of its 2002 average, and total …

Applied Industrial Technologies, Cleveland, OH, reported sales increased 4% in the second quarter 2007 to $472.36 million. Profit grew 21% to $18.5 million.


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For the six months ended Dec. 31, 2006, sales increased 7% to $964.9 million from $899.3 million in the same period last year. Profit was up 23% to $39.7 million.


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Applied CEO David Pugh said: Although our sales growth was softer than we expected, we believe the economic outlook suggests continued growth through our fiscal year.&nbsp ; We are actively managing our business and are working to keep costs in line with the slower pace of the economy. Based on the current state of the industrial economy, and with six months of results under our belt, we now expect our year-end sales to …

SKF has acquired the Preventive Maintenance Company Inc., Elk Grove Village, IL. PMCI has 70 employees with annual sales of about $10 million.


PMCI is in Predictive Maintenance services for industrial customers in the pulp and paper, metals, food, automotive and other industries. The PMCI acquisition strengthens SKF in reliability services, condition monitoring products and maintenance strategies.


The integration of PMCI into the SKF Group has just started.

Related Links:
SKF Group Sales Grow 8.3% in First Half
SKF to Buy Austrian Industrial Seals Co.

Apollo Management, which also recently invested in Rexnord, has made an investment in Bradco Supply Corp., a roofing supply distributor based in Avenel, NJ. Bradco has more than 150 branches in the U.S.


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We are happy for the relationship with Apollo, said founder Barry Segal. In a short period of time we have become comfortable with the chemistry and we see this as a great opportunity to significantly grow the company.”


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Apollo is a private equity, debt and capital markets investor with offices in New York, London and Los Angeles.


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More Breaking …

Wholesale prices rose 1.1% in all of 2006, in contrast to the 5.4% rise in 2005, the Department of Labor reported. The government attributed the slower rate of advance to the index for finished energy goods, which fell 2% in 2006 after climbing 23.9% a year earlier. Otherwise, wholesale prices except foods and energy moved up 2% in 2006 following a 1.4% gain in 2005.


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At the earlier stages of processing, prices received by intermediate goods producers increased 2.8% in 2006 compared with an 8.6% advance in the preceding year, while the crude goods index declined 2.4% after moving up 21.1% in 2005.


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Wholesale prices rose 0.9% in December, seasonally adjusted. The rise follows a 2% advance in November and a 1.6% decline in October. At the …

In November, U.S. distributors’ year-to-date sales of power transmission/motion control products climbed 10.7% as compared to sales for January through November 2005, according to the latest November trend data released by the Power Transmission Distributors Association. Sales fell 3.6% over the previous month and were up 7.8% as compared to November 2005.


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Days sales in accounts receivables rose 1.3% as compared to October 2006 and increased 2.9% as compared to the same month last year.&nbsp ; Annualized sales to inventory ratio in November was 8.3, compared to 7.9 in 2005.


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For November, the confidence level of U.S. distributors decreased to 6.2 from 6.3 in October on a 10-point scale.


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Canadian distributors’ …

Global fastener distributor The Wurth Group, based in Germany, recorded 12% sales growth in fiscal 2006 to 7.74 billion euro, or US$9.9 billion. Outside of Germany, sales increased by 11.8% to 4.62 billion euro, or US$5.96 billion.


Profit grew by 16.5% overall.


In 2006, Wurth grew its staff by 8.2%, and its sales representatives by 5.6% to 29,020 worldwide.


The Wurth Group also expanded to Mongolia in 2006, bringing the group to 83 countries.


Related Links:
Wurth Service Supply Reports 28.5% Sales Increase in 2005

More Breaking …

The Home Channel News reports that more management changes are expected at The Home Depot following CEO Bob Nardelli’s resignation this month.


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Already, Harvey Seegers, president of Home Depot Direct, was replaced by Steve Skinner, who will oversee the online and catalog division. Skinner had worked under Seegers previously.


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John Campi, the senior vice president for global sourcing and vendor management, resigned as well. He will be replaced by Brian Robbins, HCN reported.


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Both Seegers and Campi came over to HD with Nardelli from GE.

When Nardelli left, Joe DeAngelo, HD Supply chief, was promoted to Chief Operating Officer, giving him more retail …

Ferguson has acquired Cal-Steam Supply Inc., a distributor of plumbing products with 10 locations in the San Francisco Bay area. Cal-Steam had sales of $148.6 million in the year ended Dec. 31, 2005.


Ferguson’s parent company, Wolseley, says the acquisition will benefit from its new Stockton, CA, distribution center to be completed later this year.


Ferguson has also acquired Guntersville Fabrication and Sprinkler Co. Inc. and Guntersville Pipe and Supply. Guntersville distributors and fabricates fire protection systems with three locations in the Southeast. It serves Ohio, Florida, Georgia and Louisiana.


Guntersville had sales of $31.5 million in the year ended Oct. 31, 2006.

Related Links:
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Strategic Distribution, Inc., Bristol, PA, has agreed to be bought out by Platinum Equity in a deal worth $30 million. The deal stipulates that Strategic Distribution will merge with Project Eagle Holding Corp. and Project Eagle Merger Corp., each a Platinum Equity portfolio company. Strategic reported revenues of $136.9 million in 2005 and a net loss of $3.4 million. Platinum Equity has been busy in the industrial sector, recently buying Textron Fastening Systems for $630 million and PNA Group Inc., a $1.2 billion processor and distributor of steel products. More …

Kennametal Inc., Latrobe, PA, has agreed to acquire Federal Signal …

Modern Distribution Management’s November Inflation Index, which measures a cross-section of industrial supplies, was up 0.20% from the previous month, and up 4.04% from November 2005.

Summary of&nbsp ; MDM Inflation Index for the past 12 months:

November 2006 Index 266.5
October 2006 Index 265.9
September 2006 Index 265.6
August 2006 Index 265.2
July 2006 Index 264.0
June 2006 Index 263.0
May 2006 Index 262.1
April 2006 Index 262.1
March 2006 Index 262.1
Febuary 2006 Index 261.2
January 2006 Index 260.2
December 2005 Index 258.1
November 2005 Index&nbsp ; 256.1


Please click below on Related Document to view a detailed calculation of the&nbsp ; MDM Inflation Index for November 2006, listing the ten …

Sales


November 2006 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $331.3 billion, up 1.0% (+/-0.5%) from the revised October level and were up 7.9% (+/-1.2%) from the November 2005 level. The October preliminary estimate was revised upward $0.4 billion or 0.1%. November sales of durable goods increased 1.2% (+/-0.8%) from last month and were up 7.7% (+/-1.8%) from a year ago.&nbsp ;


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Compared to last month, sales of motor vehicle and motor vehicle parts and supplies were up 5.0% and sales of electrical and electronic goods increased 2.9 %. November sales of nondurable goods were up 0.7% (+/-0.7%) …

November U.S. manufacturing technology consumption totaled $335.02 million, according to AMTDA, the American Machine Tool Distributors’ Association, and AMT – The Association for Manufacturing Technology.


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This total, as reported by companies participating in the USMTC program, was down 12.3% from October, but up 32.7% from the total of $252.38 million reported for November 2005. With a year-to-date total of $3,549.90 million, 2006 was up 29.4% compared with 2005.


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These numbers and all data in this report are based on the totals of actual data reported by companies participating in the USMTC program.


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Though below the exceptional September peak, the November results continue to show strong purchases of advanced …

Hype and speculation tend to follow an industry consolidator. The announcement last week that Home Depot CEO Bob Nardelli was ousted from his position over pay issues and lagging stock gains generated an inordinate amount of buzz. Some even claimed it is a repudiation of the Home Depot model itself and its relatively recent strategy to aggressively grow the wholesale distribution division.


Hardly. All we know versus a week ago is that HD has $210 million less to fund acquisition activities that instead went to Mr. Nardelli’s severance package (Wouldn’t you like to be chastised like that?). Now that will really slow the acquisition pace of HD Supply….


What’s lost in the shock value of the pay deal is that Home Depot’s net income in the most recent quarter, ended …

This is the pdf of this issue of Modern Distribution Management. Apply the full $24.95 pay-per-view cost toward an annual subscription (within 30 days of purchase), which includes two issues a month plus access to more than six years of online archives and market data. Call 1-888-742-5060 or email info@mdm.com to …

Private label products—products branded by a wholesaler-distributor—represent a break from the more traditional wholesale distribution approach of reselling manufacturers' branded products. In our new research study, Facing the Forces of Change®: Lead the Way in the Supply Chain, we found that private label strategies by wholesaler-distributors will expand substantially over the next five years.

Private labels will strengthen wholesaler-distributors' relationships with their customers. However, they will strain distributors' relationships with their suppliers by challenging the wholesale distribution channel's traditional …


Beacon Electric Supply in Southern California implemented a fleet management system to increase the number of deliveries drivers could make in a day. The system has also helped Beacon improve customer service levels and keep salespeople apprised of issues at the delivery site.


At Beacon Electric Supply Inc., San Diego, CA, the burden of making deliveries on time used to lay on the drivers. They would get a pile of orders and it would be up to the drivers to best determine the routes, says CFO Dan Vivier. They supposedly knew their areas better than anyone else.”


While that was true, fingers were inevitably pointed at the driver whenever something went wrong with a delivery.


So Beacon implemented a fleet management software package from RouteView a …


1sourcesupplies is an alliance of distributors who want to offer single-sourcing programs to smaller customers, including inventory management, supply chain automation, streamlined billing and information analysis.


Mark Hill’s cutting tool distributorship, I.M.C. Supply Co., Memphis, TN, lost its biggest customer in 1997. The customer we lost really wanted us to have their business, but we didn’t have the programs they needed, Hill says.


Instead of folding, or scrambling to make ends meet, Hill pushed forward with a plan to find a way to offer single-sourcing solutions to his customers. Since that year, his business has doubled. About 65 percent of his business is now single-source.


Hill has decided to pass on his newfound knowledge in the form of a …

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