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ECONOMIC OUTLOOK REPORTS

It provides a thorough look at the state of the U.S. wholesale distribution economy today and what factors are influencing underlying demand.
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This issue is packed with 10 articles that span Amazon’s VMI launch, features on Watsco, ABC Supply and City Electric Supply, distributors’ industry event spending and more, plus an HVACR Market Profile.

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Find a wealth of data and analysis extracted from the 3Q24 Baird-MDM Industrial Distribution Survey, including trending charts and figures for revenue and expectations, plus plenty of interesting commentary.
See our top Premium M&A articles from July-September 2024, including QXO’s rollout plans; Sonepar’s Purchase of Summit Electric; What to know before expanding across state lines; and the latest EBITDA trading multiples.

Case Studies

This case study explores the plumbing, HVACR, PVF and industrial supplies distributor’s past decade of growth through diversification, private branding and increased customer loyalty.
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Company Snapshot

  • One distribution center and five branches, based in Livonia, MI.
  • Number of employees: 58
  • Key products: Bearings and power transmission

We strive to be problem-solvers in the marketplace by providing end-user training. It's a service the customer values and one that our competition can't easily duplicate. It adds real value to what we offer and helps us build stronger relationships with our end users.

More than eight years ago we began receiving requests from customers for maintenance-related training. We viewed these requests as opportunities for us to grow our business.

We sat down with those customers to determine the specific areas where they needed …

Dear Editor:



I would like to disagree with MDM’s editorial on Home Depot (MDM Jan. 10, 2007) – on several levels.



1) The job of company management, within certain limits, is to maximize shareholder value. HD stock was over $43 in 2000. According to the inflation calculator provided (on the Web) by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, that adjusts (for inflation) to about $50 in 2006. I would guess it will adjust another dollar higher in 2007 money, so make it $51.


Essentially, HD paid Bob Nardelli more than $450 million over six years to go backwards. The spending power of the money invested in HD stock by shareholders who bought the stock the day he was named Big Cheese DECLINED. You cite Nardelli’s accomplishments. If he’s not responsible for …

Sales. November 2006 sales of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers’ sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations and trading-day differences but not for price changes, were $331.3 billion, up 1.0% from the revised October level and were up 7.9% from the November 2005 level. November sales of durable goods increased 1.2% from last month and were up 7.7% from a year ago. Compared to last month, sales of motor vehicle and motor vehicle parts and supplies were up 5.0% and sales of electrical and electronic goods increased 2.9 %. November sales of nondurable goods were up 0.7% (+/-0.7%) …

As the lead article in this issue illustrates, the inflation threat largely driven in 2005 by energy price hikes has moderated, particularly the last few months of the year. Wholesale prices rose 1.1 percent in 2006, compared to 5.4 percent in 2005. But wholesale prices except food and energy – the core inflation rate – moved up 2 percent in 2006 following a 1.4 percent gain in 2005.


Distributors need to look more closely at the stats in their own sectors, as there are a lot of mixed signals. Materials for durable manufacturing increased 13 percent in 2006; prices for materials/components for construction increased 4.3 percent.


But as these pages pointed out (Adam Fein article in Nov. 10, 2006 MDM), distributors really need to watch steroid revenue growth produced …

Apollo Management, which also recently invested in Rexnord, has made an investment in Bradco Supply Corp., a roofing distributor based in Avenel, NJ. Bradco has more than 150 branches in the U.S. Bradco founder Barry Segal says the investment is a great opportunity to significantly grow the company.” More …

Global fastener distributor The Wurth Group, based in Germany, recorded 12 percent sales growth in fiscal 2006 to 7.74 billion euro, or US$9.9 billion. Outside of Germany, sales increased by 11.8 percent to 4.62 billion euro, or US$5.96 billion. Profit grew by 16.5 percent overall. <a href="/pub/1_1/breaking-news/3616-1.html" ...

Click here for charts showing inflation by product group – 16 products, including tools, fasteners, machinery/equipment, fluid power, and others, are displayed in this document.

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This is an overview of wholesale price inflation trends in the past year for commodities in industrial and construction channels. Overall, core inflation rose 1.1 percent in 2006 -a significant slowdown from 2005. But the Federal Reserve still sees inflation as a potential threat in the next year, albeit at lower levels.

Thanks to a slowdown in energy price increases, wholesale prices rose 1.1 percent in 2006, in contrast to the 5.4 percent rise in 2005, the Bureau of …

This table highlights key financial metrics and trading multiples for 30 publicly traded distributors in the industrial and building products industries. Download the pdf in this article to see the data. Also find graphic illustrating median EBIDTA multiples for the same distribution companies.



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These materials,&nbsp ; prepared by Robert W. Baird & Co. for MDM are for informational purposes …

Industrial gases producer and distributor Praxair, Inc., Danbury, CT, reported sales of $8.3 billion for 2006, an increase of 10% over last year. In North America, sales reached $4.6 billion for the year, up 9%.


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Sales in the fourth quarter were $2.123 billion, up 9% from the same period a year ago. In North America, fourth-quarter sales hit $1.182 billion, up 6%.


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Praxair achieved strong growth from new business and the start-up of new supply systems in every geography and end market.


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Sales growth occurred in most major end markets and the company completed seven major projects in 2006. Additionally, the number of new projects underway and set to come on stream in the next several years increased significantly …

Praxair Distribution, Inc., Danbury, CT, a subsidiary of Praxair, Inc., has agreed to buy Mittler Supply Inc., distributor of industrial, medical, specialty gases and related welding equipment and supplies, operating in Indiana, Michigan and Illinois. Mittler had sales of $73 million in 2006 and has 210 employees.


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Founded in 1946, Mittler operates a cylinder-gas fill plant, specialty-gas laboratory and a centralized warehouse for distribution of welding equipment and supplies at its headquarters located in South Bend, IN. The firm also operates several satellite cylinder-gas fill plants and 18 retail sales and distribution locations in the three states.


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“The addition of Mittler Supply to our existing network in the Great Lakes …

Kennametal Inc., Latrobe, PA, reported sales for the first six months of fiscal 2007 were $1.1 billion, level with the same period last year. Sales grew 6% on an organic basis, offset by the impact of acquisitions and divestiture of J & L Industrial Supply.


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Sales for the quarter were $569 million compared with $563 million in the same quarter last year. Sales grew 6% on an organic basis.


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Metalworking Solutions & Services Group sales were up 5%, led by year-over-year expansion in the distribution, aerospace and general engineering markets. The North American market continued to moderate (+1%), while conditions in the European market continued to improve (+11%), and Asia Pacific (+6%) and India (+7%) delivered solid growth.


Applied Industrial Technologies announced that Bill L. Purser, president and COO, will retire effective Dec. 31, 2007. Purser, 63, has been president since October 2000.


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Ben J. Mondics, 48, will be promoted to president following Purser’s departure. Mondics, effective Feb. 1, will be promoted to COO.


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Mondics is currently Applied’s Area Vice President – Midwest Area, where he oversees nine regions and 86 service centers in 11 states. The Midwest sales area is the largest of the company’s five geographic divisions. Mondics has been with Applied since 1994.


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More Breaking …

BlueLinx Holdings Inc., Atlanta, GA, distributor of building products, reported revenue for the fourth quarter 2006 declined about 29% to $945 million from the same period a year ago. The company’s business that is tied to new home construction was negatively impacted by the slowdown and depressed wood-based structural product prices. BlueLinx reported a net loss for the quarter.


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The company’s fourth-quarter results historically are affected negatively by a seasonal slowdown in construction. It also had a stronger-than-expected 2005 fourth quarter in the aftermath of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita.


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The company’s overall unit volume fell about 17% during the fourth quarter, with structural unit volume down about 18%, and specialty unit …

Illinois Tool Works Inc. has sold its mechanical roofing fastener business for $26 million to OMG Inc., a subsidiary of Handy & Harman.


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The business develops and manufactures fastening systems for the commercial roofing industry.



OMG is a manufacturer of mechanical fasteners, accessories and components and building products for the commercial and residential construction industry.


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More Breaking …

UK-based Wolseley plc, global distributor of plumbing and heating products to professional contractors and supplier of building materials, reported it continues to be affected by the slowdown in housing and lower lumber prices in the U.S.


For the first five months to Dec. 31, 2006, Wolseley sales increased 15%, with 3% organic growth. Profit was slightly lower. In constant currency, revenue and trading profit would be about 5% higher. Results for the first six months will be reported in mid-March.


Wolseley says the housing slowdown effect was offset by good organic growth in the U.S. plumbing and heating business (Ferguson), an improved performance in continental Europe and contributions from acquisitions.


In the U.S., new housing starts have …

Diversified industrial manufacturer Eaton Corp. reported sales for 2006 were up 12% from 2005, and profit was up 18%. Sales were $12.4 billion.


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Fourth quarter sales were up 10% to $3.1 billion, with profit up 15%.


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Segment Results
Fourth quarter sales for Electrical were $1.1 billion, up 9% over 2005. End markets grew about 2.5% for electrical, reflecting a slowdown from the growth rate in early 2006. In 2007, Eaton expects 4% growth, with nonresidential markets offsetting a decline in residential markets.


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In Fluid Power, fourth quarter sales were $985 million, 17% above the same period in 2005. Organic growth was 7%. Fluid Power markets grew 6%, with global hydraulics shipments up 7%, …

The Wall Street Journal (subscription required) reported this weekend that Home Depot board members are expected to visit this week with investor Ralph Whitworth, head of Relational Investors, which owns 1.3% of HD stock. Whitworth has been critical of HD’s strategy recently and says that big changes are necessary to boost the stock price post-Nardelli. Bob Nardelli recently resigned his post as CEO.


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Whitworth has been critical of HD’s supply business, telling CNBC’s Closing Bell in January: What we believe is that management should be focused like laser beams on the core business, improving the customer experience, …

ElkCorp, Dallas, TX, manufacturer of roofing and building products, has received another offer to purchase all of ElkCorp’s outstanding shares for $42 a share by an affiliate of Building Materials Corporation of America.


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The special committee and board of directors, consistent with its recently announced merger agreement with The Carlyle Group, will review the offer and make a recommendation to ElkCorp’s shareholders.


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On January 16, 2007, ElkCorp announced that it has entered into an amended merger agreement with Carlyle, under which Carlyle commenced an offer to acquire all of ElkCorp’s outstanding shares for $40.50 per share. The revised Carlyle tender offer represents a $2.50 increase over the $38.00 price per share provided in the …

Rexel reported sales for fiscal 2006 at 9.3 billion euro, or $12.1 billion, up 26% from 2005, and up 11.1% on a comparable basis (same scope of consolidation, exchange rates and business days).


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In North America, Rexel sales reached $5.2 billion, up 12.2% on a comparable basis from last year. Sales for the fourth quarter were $1.62 billion, up 4% from the same period a year ago on a comparable basis.


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Sales in Europe reached $5.9 billion for the year. Operations there posted double-digit growth.


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Overall, sales for Rexel in the fourth quarter were $3.5 billion.


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CEO Jean-Charles Pauze said that the performance, in part, reflects increases in …

Industrial production rose 0.4% in December after a decrease of 0.1% in November. Output in November was previously estimated to have advanced; weaker data for a number of industries, particularly steel, led to the downward revision.


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For the fourth quarter as a whole, industrial production decreased 0.5% (annual rate). In the manufacturing sector, output increased 0.7% in December, and most major industry groups registered gains.


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The output of utilities fell 2.6%, the result of relatively mild temperatures during the month, while the output of mines moved up 0.8%.


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Over the 12 months ending in December, total industrial production increased 3.0%, to a level that was 112.4% of its 2002 average, and total …

The Fastenal Company, Winona, MN, reported sales for the year ended Dec. 31, 2006, were $1.8 billion, an increased of 18.8% over 2005. Profit increased 19.3% to $199,038.


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Sales for the fourth quarter ended Dec. 31, 2006, were $448,729, an increase of 16.8% over the same period last year. Profit increased 16.4% to $45,570.


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In 2006, Fastenal opened 245 new sites, representing an increase in stores of 14%. Fastenal operated 2,000 sites on Dec. 31. Employees grew to 7,174, up 12.2% from 2005.


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Details here.

Related Links:
Fastenal 3Q Sales Up 16.9%

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