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ECONOMIC OUTLOOK REPORTS

It provides a thorough look at the state of the U.S. wholesale distribution economy today and what factors are influencing underlying demand.
Our 2024 EOR is a comprehensive economic reference guide to the U.S. wholesale distribution industry and its many different verticals. It is comprised of 20 different subreports.

Premium Monthly

This issue is packed with 10 articles that span Amazon’s VMI launch, features on Watsco, ABC Supply and City Electric Supply, distributors’ industry event spending and more, plus an HVACR Market Profile.

Market Insight Reports

Find a wealth of data and analysis extracted from the 3Q24 Baird-MDM Industrial Distribution Survey, including trending charts and figures for revenue and expectations, plus plenty of interesting commentary.
See our top Premium M&A articles from July-September 2024, including QXO’s rollout plans; Sonepar’s Purchase of Summit Electric; What to know before expanding across state lines; and the latest EBITDA trading multiples.

Case Studies

This case study explores the plumbing, HVACR, PVF and industrial supplies distributor’s past decade of growth through diversification, private branding and increased customer loyalty.
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Jackson, MS-based Stuart C. Irby Co., a subsidiary of Sonepar USA, has acquired Burmeister Electric Company, Minneapolis, MN, and High Voltage Testing Laboratories, Fargo, ND.


Burmeister was established in 1919 to serve utility companies in the Upper Midwest.


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Burmeister is a full-line stocking distributor and manufacturers’ agent offering products to the electric utilities for transmission and distribution requirements.=


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HVTL is a fully certified testing laboratory offering high voltage testing services and sales of PPE (personal protective equipment) safety products, used by electric utility lineman and field service personnel in the contractor and industrial markets.


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Burmeister will continue to …

SKF has acquired the Preventive Maintenance Company Inc., Elk Grove Village, IL. PMCI has 70 employees with annual sales of about $10 million.


PMCI is in Predictive Maintenance services for industrial customers in the pulp and paper, metals, food, automotive and other industries. The PMCI acquisition strengthens SKF in reliability services, condition monitoring products and maintenance strategies.


The integration of PMCI into the SKF Group has just started.

Related Links:
SKF Group Sales Grow 8.3% in First Half
SKF to Buy Austrian Industrial Seals Co.

Apollo Management, which also recently invested in Rexnord, has made an investment in Bradco Supply Corp., a roofing supply distributor based in Avenel, NJ. Bradco has more than 150 branches in the U.S.


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We are happy for the relationship with Apollo, said founder Barry Segal. In a short period of time we have become comfortable with the chemistry and we see this as a great opportunity to significantly grow the company.”


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Apollo is a private equity, debt and capital markets investor with offices in New York, London and Los Angeles.


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More Breaking …

Ferguson has acquired Cal-Steam Supply Inc., a distributor of plumbing products with 10 locations in the San Francisco Bay area. Cal-Steam had sales of $148.6 million in the year ended Dec. 31, 2005.


Ferguson’s parent company, Wolseley, says the acquisition will benefit from its new Stockton, CA, distribution center to be completed later this year.


Ferguson has also acquired Guntersville Fabrication and Sprinkler Co. Inc. and Guntersville Pipe and Supply. Guntersville distributors and fabricates fire protection systems with three locations in the Southeast. It serves Ohio, Florida, Georgia and Louisiana.


Guntersville had sales of $31.5 million in the year ended Oct. 31, 2006.

Related Links:
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Beacon Electric Supply in Southern California implemented a fleet management system to increase the number of deliveries drivers could make in a day. The system has also helped Beacon improve customer service levels and keep salespeople apprised of issues at the delivery site.


At Beacon Electric Supply Inc., San Diego, CA, the burden of making deliveries on time used to lay on the drivers. They would get a pile of orders and it would be up to the drivers to best determine the routes, says CFO Dan Vivier. They supposedly knew their areas better than anyone else.”


While that was true, fingers were inevitably pointed at the driver whenever something went wrong with a delivery.


So Beacon implemented a fleet management software package from RouteView a …

Hagemeyer has acquired BREVA, an electrical wholesaler-distributor of MRO products in Belgium. About 70% of BREVA’s sales go to industrial customers.


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The acquisition provides Hagemeyer an entrance to the Belgian market and will allow Hagemeyer to serve the Belgian subsidiaries of its large global industrial customers.


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BREVA is headquartered in Zonhoven, Belgium.


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Hagemeyer has had revenues of &nbsp ; 4.6 billion in the first nine months of 2006. More than 90% of Hagemeyer’s total revenue is generated by its core Professional Products and Services, which focuses on the value-added business-to-business distribution of electrical parts and supplies, safety and other Maintenance, Repair and Operations products in …

HD Supply Waterworks, a subsidiary of The Home Depot, has agreed to acquire Sioux Pipe, Inc., a water and sewer distributor with two locations in South Dakota.


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With the addition of Sioux Pipe, HD Supply Waterworks creates a presence in South Dakota.


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HD Supply Waterworks supplies products in building, repairing and maintaining water and wastewater systems. It is part of HD Supply, Home Depot’s wholesale division.


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Related Links:
Home Depot CEO Nardelli Resigns
HD Supply Sales Increase 159% in Third Quarter
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Cooper Electric Supply Co., Tinton Falls, NJ, has acquired Fairview Electrical Supply Corp., Fairview, NJ.


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Cooper Electric serves the New Jersey, New York and Pennsylvania markets. This acquisition increases its presence to 30 locations in the tri-state area.


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Fairview Electrical Supply Co. is in Northern New Jersey with a customer footprint in both New Jersey and New York.

More Breaking …

Border States, Fargo, ND, has agreed to buy Minnesota Electric Supply Company, a full line provider of electrical products with eight locations in Minnesota and more than 3,000 customers.


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According to Electrical Wholesaling’s top 200, Border States had 2005 revenues of $601 million, and Minnesota Electric had sales of $78.3 million.


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Border States provides products and services to the construction, industrial, utility and data communications markets. The combined organization will have more than 1,200 employees and 51 branch operations in 11 states and Mexico.


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More Breaking News


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Sonepar USA, Philadelphia, PA, has acquired Dallas, TX-based Crawford Electric Supply Company, Ltd. Crawford Electric had sales of $175 million in 2005, according to Electrical Wholesaling’s 2006 top 200 issue.


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The acquisition extends Sonepar USA’s reach into the fast-growing Texas market.


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Crawford has locations in Dallas, Fort Worth, Houston and San Antonio. The company offers electrical and lighting products to commercial and residential contractors.


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The purchase is Sonepar USA’s seventh acquisition in less than two years. Consistent with all Sonepar USA acquisitions, CESCO will retain its brand identity and autonomy.


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Sonepar USA is a member of the Sonepar group – a global …

Air Products, Lehigh Valley, PA, has agreed to acquire the industrial gas business of Central Europe-based BOC Gazy Sp z o.o. from Linde Gas for 370 million euros (US$481 million).&nbsp ;


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For regulatory purposes, BOC Gazy was required to be sold by Linde as a result of its purchase of The BOC Group plc in September 2006.


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The BOC Gazy business had fiscal year 2006 sales of 126 million euros ($164&nbsp ; million).&nbsp ; The business has 750&nbsp ; employees, five industrial gas plants and six cylinder transfills serving customers across a diverse range of industries, including chemicals, steel and base metals, among others.


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“We’re taking advantage of a unique opportunity to become the number one industrial …

Ellison Technologies, Inc., Cleveland, OH, provider of engineered systems and industrial equipment to metal-working and metal-cutting manufacturers, has acquired Jackson Machinery Company, a privately held distributor based outside of Cleveland.The acquisition provides Ellison a stronger position in northern Ohio, a strong manufacturing base. The area includes major industrial markets such as Cleveland, Akron-Canton, Mansfield, Youngstown and Toledo. Industries represented include aerospace, automotive, agricultural, medical, and energy. Processes used include high-speed and multi-axis machining, robotic automation, continuous flow, and setup reduction. Until being acquired, Jackson Machinery was an exclusive dealer of Mori Seiki products and sub-dealer to Mori Mid-America Sales, …

Airgas, Inc., Radnor, PA, has acquired CFC Refimax, LLC, a full-service refrigerant supplier and reclamation company based in Atlanta, GA.&nbsp ; The business, which has about 50 employees, had about $21 million in annual sales in 2006.


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Refimax has been integrated into Airgas Specialty Products, national distributor of ammonia products and services, various process chemicals, and refrigerants. Airgas Specialty Products is part of the Gas Operations Division, which also includes Airgas Carbonic and Dry Ice, and Airgas Nitrous Oxide.&nbsp ;


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Refimax has operations in Atlanta and Houston, and five third-party distribution warehouse locations in York, PA; Reno, NV; Indianapolis, IN; New Orleans, LA; and Dallas, TX. …

Kennametal Inc., Latrobe, PA, has agreed to acquire Federal Signal Corporation’s cutting tool business comprised of Manchester Tool Company, ClappDiCO Corporation and On Time Machine, Inc. for $67 million.


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With annual sales of about $40 million, Federal Signal Corporation’s cutting tool business produces, markets and services super hard polycrystalline diamond and cubic boron nitride cutting tools, tool holding systems and certain specialized turning tools which are complementary to Kennametal’s product range.


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Kennametal says the acquisition is consistent with its growth strategy and with the company’s previously stated intentions for the use of cash.


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We …

Praxair Distribution, Danbury, CT, a division of Praxair Canada Inc., has acquired the Canadian propane tank-exchange business of Blue Rhino, a Ferrellgas Partners L.P. company.

Under the agreement, Praxair acquired more than 900 propane tank-exchange display cages at retail locations across Canada. In addition, it will take over the contract to supply more than 300 retail gasoline stations belonging to Shell Canada Products with 20-pound propane tanks for their exchange program. In conjunction with this transaction, Praxair also signed a distributor agreement with Superior Tank Incorporated. Superior Tank will serve Praxair’s propane tank-exchange customers in the Atlantic Provinces.

Previously, Praxair provided propane …

New orders for manufactured goods in November, down four consecutive months, decreased $18.7 billion or 4.6% to $384.6 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau reported in the preliminary report on manufacturers’ shipments, inventories and orders. This followed a 6% October decrease.

Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 4.2%. Shipments, also down four consecutive months, decreased $22.1 billion or 5.3% to $393.8 billion. This was the largest percent decrease since the series was first published on a NAICS basis in 1992 and followed a 3.6% October decrease. Unfilled orders, down two consecutive months, decreased $5.3 billion or 0.6% to $815.4 billion. This followed a 0.9% October decrease.
 
The unfilled orders-to-shipments ratio was 5.82, up from 5.69 in October. …

U.S. construction spending in November 2008 was $1,078.4 billion, 0.6% below the revised October estimate. November is 3.3% below November 2007. Year-to-date, construction spending is $998.4 billion, 5.3% below the same period in 2007, according to the U.S. Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce.
 
Spending on private construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $756.4 billion, 1.5% below the revised October estimate. Residential construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $328.3 billion in November, 4.2% below October. Nonresidential construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $428.2 billion in November, 0.7% above October.
 
In November, the estimated seasonally adjusted annual rate of public construction spending …

Creighton University’s Mid-America Business Conditions Index was at a record low of 33.0 for December. The report, found here, is based on a survey of supply managers in the region. An index of 50 is considered growth-neutral.”

The survey showed job losses for the eleventh time in the past 12 months. Inflation has turned to deflation, and export orders have plunged. North Dakota and Oklahoma are the only states in the region where leading economic indicators are above “growth-neutral.”
 
A Creighton economics professor and the head of the university’s Economic Forecasting Group says that …

Building Materials Holding Corp., San Francisco, CA, a provider of building materials and construction services to professional residential builders and contractors, announced it will close several additional facilities in an effort to continue to align costs with current market conditions.
 
BMHC will close all of its operations located in Northern Nevada, including Reno and Sparks facilities. Greater Portland, OR, market operations will be consolidated to the Vancouver, WA, facility, closing a site in Sherwood, OR. In Marysville, CA, BMHC will consolidate its lumber and building materials distribution and wall panel manufacturing operations into its existing Modesto, CA facilities. Other operational consolidations will occur in Texas, Colorado and Arizona.
 
These …

The U.S. manufacturing sector contracted in December for the fifth consecutive month, say the nation’s supply executives in the latest Manufacturing ISM Report on Business.

According to ISM, manufacturing activity declined at a rapid rate in December. The decline covers all industries, as none of the industries in the sector reported growth. New orders have contracted for 13 consecutive months, and are at the lowest level on record going back to January 1948.

Order backlogs have fallen to the lowest level since ISM began tracking the Backlog of Orders Index in January 1993. Manufacturers are reducing inventories and shutting down capacity to offset the slower rate of activity.

<a href=http://www.ism.ws/ISMReport/MfgROB.cfm" ...

The U.S. manufacturing sector contracted in December for the fifth consecutive month, say the nation’s supply executives in the latest Manufacturing ISM Report on Business.

According to ISM, manufacturing activity declined at a rapid rate in December. The decline covers all industries, as none of the industries in the sector reported growth. New orders have contracted for 13 consecutive months, and are at the lowest level on record going back to January 1948.

Order backlogs have fallen to the lowest level since ISM began tracking the Backlog of Orders Index in January 1993. Manufacturers are reducing inventories and shutting down capacity to offset the slower rate of activity.

The manufacturing industry in Latin America continued expanding during the first three quarters of 2008, underpinned by strong growth in Brazil and Argentina, but a new report says macroeconomic conditions in the region have deteriorated, and growth expectations for 2009 have dropped sharply. Manufacturing production growth will decelerate appreciably in 2009, according to the Manufacturers Alliance/MAPI Latin America Outlook: 2008-2009, a bi-annual analysis that examines the latest trends and provides a near-term forecast for 16 major industries.

The report focuses on Latin America’s three largest economies-Brazil, Argentina, and Mexico-as these countries are responsible for more than 80% of the …

The desire to go green often is offset by concerns about the upfront cost of the necessary changes. Knoxville Wholesale Furniture, Knoxville, TN, spent $125,000 on three machines to process Styrofoam, plastic and cardboard for recycling, according to a recent article at knoxnews.com.
 
But the payback expected is more than worth that investment, according to owner Tim Harris. The company is already seeing tangible results from that purchase and other actions taken to green the wholesaler’s primary location: Instead of six loads of trash a day, the company empties one Dumpster of trash into the local landfill each week -slashing waste management costs. With the cost savings realized, Harris expects the investment to pay for itself in one year.
 
For more details …

The economy has officially shifted into lower gear after a turbulent ride in the second half of 2008. This article is an overview of trends and events in the past year in the wholesale distribution sector.
At the end of 2007, MDM published an article titled, Preparing for Uncertainty in 2008.”At the time, the economy was starting to show signs of weakening. Certain sectors -automotive and housing — had already taken a dive. And deal-making had started to ease.
But we could not have guessed the enormity of change that would take place this year -particularly in the second half. Financial markets collapsed and previously stalwart institutions went under.
 
Residential construction plummeted further. In November, unemployment rose to 6.7%; half a million jobs …

The collapse of the financial markets, the drops in new residential construction, and the pronouncement that the U.S. is in a recession have all contributed to a general feeling of pessimism about the state of the economy.
 
The results of the Institute for Supply Management December 2008 Semiannual Economic Forecast show just how widespread that pessimism is.
 
Business investment, a major driver in the U.S. economy, is expected to decline as both sectors expect a combined 7.6 percent decline in capital spending. Sixty-five percent of survey respondents expect revenues to be the same or smaller in 2009 than in 2008. The panel of purchasing and supply executives expects a 1.1 percent net decrease in overall revenues for 2009, compared to a 2.2 percent decrease …

Optimism is a rare thing in today’s economy. Companies around the world are shuttering plants or cutting production to combat the recession that began in the U.S. and has since spread to other countries and continents. But according to the results of McKinsey Quarterly’s Economic Conditions Snapshot, December 2008, there are a few bright spots out there.
 
About 27% of companies responding to the survey are considering positive strategic moves, like introducing new products or expanding markets, in the coming months. About 13% are planning to do so without implementing any defensive measures, such as cutting capital spending.
 
And smaller and private companies appear to be doing better than their large and public counterparts. Executives of 62% of the small or …

Source: U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development
 
Privately-owned housing starts in November were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 625,000. This is 18.9% below the revised October estimate of 771,000 and is 47% below the revised November 2007 rate of 1,179,000. Single-family housing starts in November were at a rate of 441,000; this is 16.9% below the October figure of 531,000. The November rate for units in buildings with five units or more was 166,000.
 
Building Permits
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in November were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 616,000. This is 15.6% below the revised October rate of 730,000 and is 48.1% below the revised November 2007 estimate of …

According to a report released today by RSM McGladrey, executives of U.S. wholesale-distributors have altered their growth and operational strategies to offset sector weaknesses and the rising costs of doing business, mainly associated with labor and energy.
 
RSM McGladrey’s Distribution Industry Report was extracted from the results of the firm’s 2008 Manufacturing and Wholesale Distribution National Survey conducted earlier this year. More than 960 industry executives, including 303 Distribution executives from 284 companies responded to the survey.
 
According to the survey, business conditions for many distribution companies have declined. Thirty-eight percent of those surveyed described their companies as thriving and growing,”a decline of 21% from RSM …

We asked in the MDM Reader Survey recently what special topics you wanted to see covered by MDM in the next year. Here are some of those answers, with in some cases, links to recent premium content articles on the topic: 

BNET (www.bnet.com) says one way that companies can boost employee morale in a time of budget cuts and layoff fears, is to sacrifice executive pay to send a message down the ladder that “we’re all in it together.”
 
The article cites $37.5B foodservice distributor Sysco Corp.’s experience. Apparently the distributor’s top 15 executives announced last summer they would voluntarily take a 5% pay cut. The rest of the executives got a pay freeze for the next year. Everyone else got a 3% pay increase -that is 50,000 employees.
 
A Sysco spokesman is quoted in the article as saying:
 
“We wanted to show our people that it was a tough economic time, but that the corporate office was going to take the first hit.”
 
And …

Mercer Consulting reported results of its recent Snapshot Survey, where more than 1,000 organizations in the first two weeks of November told about the challenges they face as a result of the current economic turmoil.
 
Despite all the bad news, according to Mercer, most appear to be “refraining from taking drastic actions.”Here are a few benchmarks: 

Canada may follow the U.S. into a recession, according to an economist interviewed for a recent article in MDM, Forecast: Canada Faces a Rough First Half.”Demand for Canada’s products in the U.S. continues to fall despite a weakening of the Canadian dollar. About a third of Canada’s GDP is based on exports to the U.S.
 
What’s more, commodity prices and demand for raw materials have softened, putting a damper on the historically strong resources sector. And though Canada’s banking system has not seen the same turmoil as in the U.S., more businesses are reporting tighter credit conditions in the final quarter of the year.
 
Read the full story on Canada’s economy.

Motion Industries …

Source: Statistics Canada
 
The Canada/U.S. exchange rate, as well as a notable decrease in the price of petroleum and coal products, both affected October’s manufacturing results. The change in the exchange rate had a strengthening effect for manufacturers who determine their prices in U.S. dollars. On the other hand, the price of petroleum and coal products dropped 13.5% in October, reducing the value of sales in that industry.

In constant dollars, manufacturing sales decreased 1.8% compared with September, bringing constant dollar sales to their lowest level since December 2001.

In October, 8 of 21 manufacturing industries, accounting for about 40% of total sales, posted decreases.

By Sector

Petroleum and coal …

Industrial production decreased 0.6 percent in November with declines widespread across industries. The drop in output in September was revised down, and the rebound in October was revised up, in large part because both the decrease due to the September hurricanes and the subsequent partial recovery in October were larger than previously reported.

Manufacturing production dropped 1.4 percent in November despite the resumption of activity in the commercial aircraft industry after the resolution of a strike early in the month. The output of mines advanced 2.5 percent, primarily as a result of a further post-hurricane recovery in crude oil and natural gas operations in the Gulf of Mexico. Taken together, the rebounds after the strike and the hurricanes added almost 1 percentage …

The Producer Price Index for Finished Goods fell 2.2 percent in November, seasonally adjusted, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported. This decline followed decreases of 2.8 percent in October and 0.4 percent in September. At the earlier stages of processing, prices received by manufacturers of intermediate goods dropped 4.3 percent in November after falling 3.9 percent in the prior month, and the crude goods index declined 12.5 percent subsequent to an 18.6-percent decrease in October.
 
Among prices for finished goods, the index for energy goods fell 11.2 percent in November following a 12.8-percent drop in the preceding month. Prices for consumer foods were unchanged after declining 0.2 percent in October. By contrast, partially counteracting …

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